The Vermont cannabis industry is at a crossroads.
With the federal legalization of cannabis on the horizon, the industry will shift dramatically, enabling interstate commerce and larger corporate players to enter the market.
Vermont's small, independent cultivators already face pressures from lower prices in neighboring states, increasing production costs, and the rise of AI-driven agricultural efficiencies.
If Vermont growers do not adapt, they risk being left behind.
It leverages the state's marquis identity, artisanal legacy, and natural beauty in the face of federal legalization and coming AI disruptions.
Federal cannabis legalization is forecasted under the current Trump administration.
This will allow interstate commerce and disrupt regional pricing structures.
Vermont has 417 licensed cultivators (indoor/outdoor/mixed), with significantly higher average retail prices than Massachusetts.
As of 2024, Vermont averages ~$346/oz vs. ~$150/oz in Massachusetts.
Source (VT): vermontstatecannabis.org
Source (MA): Massachusetts Cannabis Control Commission Report
Southern Vermont residents frequently cross into Massachusetts to purchase lower-priced cannabis.
This illustrates Vermont's current pricing vulnerability.
1. Cross-border Competition
Upon legalization, states with lower-priced cannabis can wholesale into higher-priced states.
Massachusetts cultivators can wholesale into Vermont at lower costs.
2. AI-Driven Cultivation
Robotics and AI will reduce labor costs and increase product quality at scale.
Farmers who do not adopt AI robotics best practices will find their cost structure not-competitive.
3. Big Ag/Biz Entry
Post federalization, corporations like Philip Morris or Coors will likely enter the market.
This replicates past agricultural consolidations, making it more challenging for Mom & Pop to compete.
Vermont's independent farmers must evolve or risk being pushed out of the market.
But there is a way forward.
Vermont Forest is designed to harness Vermont's strengths—its craft quality, its reputation, and its community—to build a brand that competes on a national scale.
Talent Search: Join a National Cannabis Brand
Brand Positioning
Cultivation AI (Robotics)
Innovative Product Development and Manufacturing AI
Demographic Targeting
A National Strategy Vermont Brand
Federal legalization will change the industry landscape.
But Vermont farmers have an opportunity to stay competitive by working together.
Vermont Forest provides the infrastructure, branding, and resources to ensure local growers maintain their independence while benefiting from national market expansion.